Well-Structured German Study Shows No Deaths among Healthy German Kids Ages 5 to 11 ⋆ Brownstone Institute

The authors begin by noting that there is uncertainty around the absolute risks of COVID to kids.

The Germany authors go on to do it the right way, they combine seroprevalance data with data on bad outcomes in kids.

For healthy kids, the risk of going to the hospital is 51 per 100,000.

For healthy kids, the risk of going to the ICU is 8 per 100,000.

For healthy kids, the risk of death is 3 per 1,000,000 with no deaths reported in kids older than 5.

Kids 5 to 11 have a lower risk than kids <5 and adolescents 12 to 17.

Kids 5 to 11 have a risk of going to the ICU of 2 in 100,000; 0 died.

Among kids who died of COVID19, 38% were already on palliative/ hospice care.

Our plea may have affected the UK which is not vaccinating kids 5 to 11, and may have helped the FDA expand the sample size of the trial.

The Germany study shows that risks to healthy kids are very low.

By lumping together healthy kids and kids with comorbidities, one can find rates of risk that help neither group.

They are too small for vulnerable kids, and too big for healthy kids.